Mr.Blistr is brutally honest about how the first part of the NFL Fantasy Football season has gone so far. He had sleepers, busts, must have, and breakout players. After NFL Week 4 Fantasy Football and looking at Fantasy Football for Week 5 in 2013 Blistr tells you how he’s done… so far!
Well, not really writer’s cramp just too damn busy with the work that pays the bills among other things. I feel bad for not having written anything for a while, but things are busy for Mrblistr these days. Obviously the school year fired back up and also coincides with my lack of fantasy football article production. On top of that, my kids both started hockey and that runs 4 days a week. And, perhaps one of my biggest passions is hunting which also is in full bloom. For those of you unaware of the time and details that go into hunting, it is a time consuming hobby. Time is spent scouting, planning and preparing well before the actual time in the field hunting. On my to-do list for the fall deer hunt still includes hanging stands, moving stands, hanging feeders and cameras and building a large 8 x 8 enclosed stand so the kids can enjoy the hunt. My 5 year old daughter is taking quite an interest, to my happy surprise. She recently got up at 4 am and dressed herself because she was so pumped I was taking her moose hunting. However getting her up at 7am for school is not so easy. I love it; my wife may not be so excited lol. Anyway, those are my “excuses” for slacking off.
But, it’s not like I have entirely abandoned the football world, quite the opposite really. I probably do more research now than ever, I just haven’t had time to share my findings or thoughts. I still have multiple FF teams; do pick em pools, confidence pools and best ball also. I play in anywhere from 10-20 weekly leagues on Fantasysports4u.com. Thus, I spend a lot (maybe too much) time analyzing players and games, and tweaking my line-ups. As I watch games and weeks unfold, I thought I would look back at some of my preseason thoughts and hunches and see how things are unfolding. So the next little bit is going to be a little hodgepodge of:
Most of the players I comment on will be from the AFC as that’s the portion I wrote about in the draft kit, but I did have make a few comments on NFC studs/duds also…
Julio Jones…in the early rankings I had him ranked #1, then after podding with Slim n JJ, they kinda talked me out of that ranking because Roddy White hurts his value. He currently sits 4th. All the guys the experts ranked ahead of him…are below.
Michael Vick…I pegged as a bust. Too many injuries. He may still fall to injury but right now he is the 3rd ranked QB in fantasy. This year a late round flier on him is looking pretty sweet.
DeSean Jackson…also pegged as a bust. However, injury troubles a plenty in Philly, combined with the up-tempo Chip Kelly offense, have made D-Jax fantasy $$ once again. I guess he scorned me one too many times and made me a hater. After 4 weeks he’s the #8 ranked receiver.
Doug Martin…for many people he isn’t living up to expectations. He is currently the 17th ranked RB. It’s a mess in Tampa, hopefully it gets straightened out real soon.
Joseph Randle… I had him as a sleeper. The oft injured Murray made this appear to be a matter of not if, but when he plays. Unfortunately, through training camp he slid right off the depth chart into the abyss. He has yet to play and is not a sleeper, but asleep.
Torrey Smith… I was uncertain that Torrey could handle the #1 job. Once again however, opportunity by means of injuries to other key players opened the door of necessity or attrition that left Torrey as one of the only options left. He is currently ranked 9th in WR stats. I still think he will fall down the ranks though.
Mohammed Sanu… I thought he would see a lot of targets (at least red zone) based on his play last year, and the fact AJ needs a nice compliment on the opposite side of the field. He is currently the 75th ranked WR and has yet to find the end zone.
Josh Gordon…I was very high on Gordon coming into the year and grabbed him on many teams…so far he has yet to disappoint. And, unbeknownst to us at the time, Brian Hoyer is proving to be a nice QB for him also.
David Nelson and Davone Bess… I thought both of these guys had a chance to breakout in Cleveland. Nelson was cut (recently signed by the Jets) and Bess is nothing more than WW fodder.
Emmanuel Sanders…I was unsure of Sanders. On one hand, he had a golden opportunity to be a breakout with the situation he was in, on the other hand, he did very little with that same opportunity last year, thus he could have been a bust. I am leaning toward bust at this point for the 56th ranked WR. Especially, playing on a winless team, who does not have a run game and is forced to throw because they are so far behind…how, can you not produce?
DeAndre Hopkins…I liked this kid and had him as a breakout. He is currently the 34th ranked WR and has caught 20 of 29 targets. I look for him to continue to move up the stat ranks amongst WR’s.
Ben Tate… Also a breakout. Ben’s numbers this year are still better than Foster. Foster as predicted has been dinged up (although he may be starting to come on as of late). Ben has 228 yards on 34 carries (6.7 YPC). Foster has 292 yards on 76 carries (3.8 YPC) and the Texans are 2-2. I may not be a mathematician, but 6.7>3.8 If I like to work as a coach in the NFL, I need someone to point this out…soon.
Darius Heyward-Bey…aka crap I called Bust. He may not be a bust, he is just DHB…not very good. Ranked 78th amongst WR’s and should fall further as the season wears on.
Delanie Walker… I actually called breakout, but started to 2nd guess myself. He currently is the 17th ranked TE, so that’s not all that bad. On the WW, he is right at the top of the list for available TE’s.
T.J. Graham…I thought for sure the 3rd year wide out would breakout. He had Stevie drawing the #1 DB’s. He has experience and only a rookie to compete with. The rookie is ranked 32nd …TJ 105th oops!
Legarette Blount… Another guy I had as a bust. I really thought he may get cut. He is the highest scoring fantasy RB on NE. He is only 38th overall amongst RB’s…but the highest in New England!!!
Bilal Powell… I nailed this one. I didn’t trust Ivory and still do not. Powell has been the steady, healthy choice and will remain that way. He is the 14th ranked RB as of today.
Daryl Richardson… He started off making me look smart…he was named the starter as I thought he would when all others wrote him off. However, I am quite confident that unless he performs out of his mind this week, he will fade off into the sunset. He is currently the 44th ranked RB. It may just be Pead time.
Peyton Manning…again Slim and JJ messed with my mind. I had Peyton #1 overall in preseason ranks. Then the notion that they would be running out the clock come the 3rd quarter started to make sense. However, their D isn’t as airtight as we thought and thus they continue to sling it. Plus, their run game isn’t great, but who cares when Peyton has 4 studs to throw it to. He is a surgeon and fun to watch. Peyton had 3 top 11 WR’s way back in 2004…he’s too old now…ya right.
Wes Welker…I had as a bust (oh my was I wrong). I didn’t think he would be a bust in the sense he would be irrelevant, just in the sense his numbers would have to take a hit “too many mouths to feed”…however, Peyton is making sure every receiver gets enough to eat…would have been a bargain on draft day and currently sites #3
Matt Flynn…supposed to breakout, however got beat out for the starting gig once again…enjoy your last pro season ya bum
Phillip Rivers…a bust, hell no. He is looking good. The 4th ranked fantasy QB. Pretty darn impressive. I was way off here.
Antonio Gates…another huge misfire. If Rivers was bad like he has been then Gates would have too, but they work together. Gates has been great (3rd ranked TE)
Julian Edelman…a sleeper. Going into the season he was the only wide out who caught a pass from Brady last year. Thanks to injuries to Gronk and Amendola, he is the 17th ranked WR. He will produce in spurts but his production should drop when the Pat’s get back to healthy.
Bernard Pierce…I thought he may emerge even more so. He has had an opportunity to start (as Rice wears out) and they don’t have a lot of options. Unfortunately, he hasn’t been real healthy himself. He is ranked 29thamoung fantasy RB’s (Rice is 41st). I think he can still become very valuable this year.
David Ausberry…I felt he could breakout this year in Oakland, instead he is on the IR and will not play…sure glad I drafted him as one of my 3 TE’s in a best ball format…even more happy now that Sudfeld is also a useless ass
Vincent Brown…a sleeper who has yet to wake up. Vince you have one more week to deliver before I release you to the hounds…are there any Vince’s I can like?
Looking back it seems that there is a lot of discrepancy in my preseason ranks and reality. However, that’s what happens when you buy a magazine before camps even unfold. Things change. People get hurt. Position battles unfold. That’s why with our draft kit, we did our initial synopsis, but then updated you regularly as to how things changed, service you don’t get from a magazine. Now things will still have an opportunity to change. We are only 4 weeks in. Guys will get hurt. Guys will start to perform and others will fade away. Although I am not writing regularly, you can tweet me and I will answer any questions. Like I said, writing has been on the back burner, but fantasy football occupies many hours every day.
Hope you enjoyed the read and I look forward to helping you make your weekly line-ups or debate a trade.