Category Archives: Slim4MVP

Phases of a Fantasy Football Auction

phase of an auction graphic
The more you know about fantasy football auctions and auction values for the 2014 NFL football season the better you will be when you enter your draft. Slim, (an Fantasy Football Auction Expert) breaks down the important Phases of the Fantasy Football Auction. Slim is a senior writer on the internet’s first and only website dedicated to fantasy football auctions.

Phases of a Fantasy Football Auction

As we’ve talked about and many of you probably already know, auction drafts are a different beast compared to most other types of drafts.  You have to be on your toes the entire time because you have the ability to acquire players at any time.  You will find that the ebb and flow of most auction drafts can be broken into 3 main phases.  Let’s take a look at these phases and see what you can expect in each of them.

 

PHASE 1: The Big Money Phase

 

This is the phase in rounds 1 through 5 where you will see the majority of top tier players being nominated and bought.  This is also when you will usually spend the majority of your budget.  Depending on what strategy you opt for, you could spend anywhere from 40-90% of your budget.

 

Top Tier Fantasy Football Auction Player Rankings

Nominate Top Tier Guys Like Shady McCoy

If you are doing the “Studs and Duds” strategy, you will probably be closer to the 80-90% end of the spectrum.  By doing that you probably won’t be able to fill out the remainder of your roster until Phase 3 so get comfortable.  If you go for a more “Balanced Budget” approach you may be closer to 50% and should be active throughout the draft.

 

What I personally like to do in Phase 1 is nominate big name players that I don’t particularly want.  My thought is these players should command big money and make other owners spend large chunks of their budgets on them hopefully not allowing them to bid on players I do want.  If I know that other owners know I’m doing this sometimes I’ll try and mix in a player I do want and try to aggressively get that player.  I feel that this can keep other owners guessing and not allow them to predict players I’m targeting with certainty.

 

PHASE 2: The Values

 

This is my favorite phase it it typically lasts from rounds 6 through 10 or 11.  The reason I like this section of the draft the best is because these are the rounds where you will typically find the best values.  A good auction drafter will be able to take his already good team and turn it into a title contender.

 

Now you really have to pay attention to what the positional needs are of each team and what the remaining budgets are for each owner because this phase is where you have to really start looking for potential values in your tiers.  For example, if you see 4 wide receivers left from your 4th tier, two of them being guys you like, then you have to try and make those players last as far into the draft as possible so that they can be had as cheaply as possible.  You can do this by continuing to nominate players that you don’t want in order to make others further spend their money and reduce their budgets.  You can also try and create a run on a position.  What I mean is if you notice that not a lot of owners have drafted tight ends or quarterbacks and you have decided you’re comfortable waiting on those positions then I like to nominate players at those positions.  What it does is make many owners panic when they notice that the talent is getting thin a position and they have yet to fill that roster spot.  This works particularly well with the quarterback position because most owners can’t stand to not have a top 10 quarterback on their roster and will try desperately to get the last few that they think are startable.  Also if you’re fairly set at the running back or wide receiver position you can keep nominating players at those positions.  This makes people spend money at a position that isn’t a need for you and allows you to make owners reduce their budgets so they can’t spend on the value players you are targeting.

 

Larry Fitzgerald - 2011 - Fantasy Football Auction

Remember in 2011 – Larry Fitzgerald – Fantasy Football Auction

I’ll provide a personal example of how you can use this phase to your advantage.  In 2011 I remember in our major auction draft we were in this phase and both Larry Fitzgerald and Hakeem Nicks were undrafted at this point.  There were a few other wide receivers that were near their tier that also had not been drafted yet.  I knew Fitz was a player I wanted to target, but so was Nicks.  I kept nominating lower ranked wide receivers since most teams had their WR1 and WR2 filled at this point.  Nicks ended up getting nominated and bought by the only other owner I thought would go after Fitz, which was good for me because it reduced my main competition.  I ended up getting Fitz in around the 10th round for $15 and he went on to finish the season as the 5th ranked fantasy wideout.  I also made it clear by how much money I had left in my budget and by how I aggressively over bid other owners, that I was going to get Fitz.  Other owners I think may have even backed down which allowed me to get him for even a little cheaper than I even thought.

 

There will usually be a handful of players in every draft that can be had for significantly less than their Average Auction Price (AAV).

 

PHASE 3: The Grind

 

This phase lasts from around rounds 10-11 till the end of your draft.  This is where the draft may be entering the fourth hour and dragging on for some.  If you went with the “Studs and Duds” strategy this is where you will find yourself busy again trying to fill the remainder of your roster while most owners are almost finished.  Even though you have many roster spots to fill you can still use your situation to your advantage.

Frank Gore Fantasy Football Auction and Player Rankings

Frank Gore or Kendall Hunter who did you pick?

One thing you can do is nominate low priced players that may be garnering a lot of hype that don’t really do it for you.  You can also nominate players that you don’t want but know specific owners in your draft like.  For example, if you’re in a draft with a 49ers fan, maybe you nominate Kendall Hunter knowing that owner may have a soft spot in his heart for him.  Or even better the guy who drafted Frank Gore may get into a mini bidding war for him too.

 

Also, some owners are mentally exhausted by this point, or maybe too drunk, so all they want to do is fill their team and relax or go home.  By throwing players out to these desperate wolves you can get them to hopefully finish off their rosters which creates less competition for the players you really want.

 

The trick is nominating one dollar players you want and getting them for a dollar.  There is nothing more frustrating than tossing quality names only to see someone outbid you by a buck every time because you are hampered by your budget.  If possible I like to have a couple bucks left in order to be able to go to $2 or $3 for quality values very late in your draft.  I realize that its not always possible, but it you can I recommend doing so because it gives you some flexibility even late in your draft when a lot of owners won’t have any.

 

Remember the entire draft will be somewhat of a grind and will be many hours.  By knowing what to expect, you will be more prepared than your competitors.  Keep mocking so you can try some of these strategies to be even more ready for the real deal. Have a look at our player rankings and our auction values to help you as you mock!

Good luck and happy drafting!

 

Slim @slim4MVP

www.thefantasyfootballauction.com Contributor

Like this article? Want more fantasy football auction talk? Listen to the podcast - www.thefantasyfootballauction.com/podcasts
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Why Julio Jones Is A Value

julio and patrick
When it comes to 2014 Fantasy Football Auction Values in 2014, we are the first and only website dedicated to fantasy football auctions. Want to compare our Auction Values to ESPN Fantasy Football and CBS Fantasy Football or even FFToolbox? Compare! Comment! Win your Fantasy Football Pool! Click here for our Auction Values

What happened to all the love for Julio Jones? Yes, he’s coming off an injury but c’mon guys.  Currently Julio finds himself as the #6 receiver being bought in auctions which makes him a very intriguing choice this year.  Why is his AAV so low? Is it that owners are scared off because of the injury
or is it because there is a perception that he is statistically inferior to the other options above him?  Let’s take a look at the numbers and see if we can clear up some misconceptions about one of my new man crushes.  No one puts Baby in the corner!

Who has more fantasy football auction value Julio Jones or Calvin Johnson

Julio Jones or Calvin Johnson Fantasy Football Value

The Case

We can see that Julio has an AAV of $44 which ranks him at the bottom of the “consensus” top receivers this year.  No surprise, Calvin Johnson’s AAV is the highest, as most people have him as their #1 ranked receiver heading into 2014.  As we start to look at some of these numbers we do have to remember that Julio’s sample size is quite a bit smaller than the other receivers due to the fact that he only played in five games last year.  Keeping that in mind, you can see Jones still led everyone in targets per game and had a very respectable fantasy point per game average, even though he only scored two touchdowns.  Granted his touchdown per reception percentage was considerably lower than his counterparts, but I think this is where sample size is really a factor.

Is it realistic to say that if Jones caught 100 passes he would only have five touchdowns as the numbers would suggest?  I doubt it.  However, it is a possibility, as we can see from Calvin Johnson’s 2012 touchdown per reception figure.  That year I’m sure no one would have guessed he would finish with only 5 touchdowns either, but that turned out to be the reality.  Notice in that same year Calvin couldn’t find the endzone, Julio was second amongst these receivers with a touchdown per reception percentage of 12.7%.  And that was in a year where he only had 79 receptions, which was fairly low compared to the other elite receivers.

If we look again at 2013, Julio was on pace for around 130 receptions, which would have led all receivers last year.  Granted that number may be a little high, but I think it speaks to the potential volume Jones could provide fantasy owners.  If you take his career average in yards per reception at 15.7 and even estimate he gets 120 receptions that would total 1884 yards.  If he was to catch 120 passes, we could use the average touchdown per reception percentage for all the receivers we are comparing over the last two seasons (12.4%) and apply that to Jones’ 2013 estimate.  In doing so he would have scored 14.9 touchdowns.  Again, this number is probably a little high, however we are simply using an average to find a general measuring stick for potential 2014 production.  No one is guaranteeing anything.  But for arguments sake, based on these projections in a non-PPR league, Jones would have totaled a whopping 278 points!  Admittedly, that number, like some of the others, seems high, especially since he would have had 50 more points than the next highest scoring receiver, but it can give us a potential ceiling for Julio Jones’ production.  That number even bests Calvin Johnson’s epic 2011 season where he blew away all other receivers in terms of fantasy points.

What conclusion can we draw from the statistics and assumptions?  I think we can at least admit that the potential is there for top receiver production in 2014.  Some of you may be worried about his injury still and that is a valid concern.  According to Jones, he is ahead of schedule in terms of rehab and he is running routes.  Unfortunately that’s all we have to go on.  If the team and the player are saying he is ahead of schedule and won’t be hampered in games we have to take them at their word until we can see him with our own eyes on the field with pads on playing against live defenses.

Matt Ryan could have his weapons back this year, so he could be back in 2014 Fantasy Football Auctions

Matt Ryan could have a bounce back year in 2014 Fantasy Football Auction

It also shouldn’t be a surprise if Matt Ryan is a more efficient passer this year.  He should hopefully face less pressure, according toPro Football Focus no team in the league gave up more total pressure (sacks plus hits plus hurries) than the Falcons, who allowed Ryan to be harassed 264 times on 710 passing plays.  That extra time in the pocket should allow Jones, the team’s best deep threat, time to get downfield for Ryan to find.  Last year Ryan threw the ball 651 times which ranked him only behind Peyton Manning.  Is it a stretch to say that the Falcons will have to throw the ball a considerable amount again this year?  I don’t think so considering their defense ranked 27th in terms of points allowed per game last year (27.7) and still appears to have some work to do in order to improve on that significantly this year.  The Falcons offense may be asked to play catch-up in the second half of many games, especially since they have out of division games versus Chicago, Green Bay, Detroit, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh and Arizona, which were all teams that ranked in the top half of the league in terms of scoring offenses last year as well.

Factor in the aging Roddy White, who is still productive but not physically at the level he once was, and the retirement of Tony Gonzalez, which results in 80 catches and 8 touchdowns that potentially need to be recouped somewhere.

 

The Verdict

We all know Julio Jones is a dynamic receiver capable of making many big plays and carrying your fantasy team on any given week.  In my opinion the stars are aligning for him to have the best fantasy season by a wide receiver in 2014.  Add in the fact that I can potentially buy him for $5-$10 less than the other players in his range then I start to see some real value here which should always be the goal of any fantasy auction owner.  We’ve seen Calvin Johnson’s ceiling over the last couple years.  I tend to think we just witnessed Demaryius Thomas’ and somewhere close to A.J. Green’s ceiling last season too.  Brandon Marshall will have to compete with another supremely talented receiver in Alshon Jeffery for touches week in week out which could limit his production to around where he finished last year.  To me Jones has the potential to make the biggest jump production-wise in 2014.  Obviously, his injury and continuing rehab will have to monitored, but if he stays on track he could be the bright spot on your fantasy team this year.

This would have made Patrick Swayze happy.

Slim  @slim4MVP

 

Contributor to www.thefantasyfootballauction.com  @fantasyauction

 

Ep77 Fantasy Football Auction – Early QB Tiers and Values

QB auction values vs fp 2013 chart
Our NFL Fantasy Football Podcast is the only Fantasy Football Auction Podcast on the internet. We are looking at Fantasy Football QB or Quarterback rankings, values and tiers tonight. You won’t find 60 min of Auction on Fantasy Focus or CBS Fantasy podcast.

 

FS4U Banner with PromoPlay Daily Fantasy Football at FantasySports4U and use referral code “auction” to receive your new member first time deposit 100% cash match.

Episode 77 – Podcast Script

Listen to the show here

Watch the videocast here

Ya boy – Its June 17th  and Episode 77 and this is the Fantasy Football Auctioneer. I’m your host Uncle Bucketts.

The Fantasy Football Auctioneer is the official podcast of TheFantasyFootballAuction.com – the internet’s only website dedicated to Fantasy Football Auctions

You can find us on facebook at facebook.com/fantasyfootballauctioneer or follow us on twitter and instagram @fantasyauction

We have a great show for you tonight – tonight we are looking at Early QB rankings and tiers. Slim has produced some spreadsheets and graphs for the first free update of our 2014 Draft Kit. Tonight we will discuss some of the research from Slim’s research.

Want to know more about our 2014 Draft Kit? Look here

As always – our experts are here:

He’s dissecting the San Antonio Spurs Victory – Slim how’s it going tonight?

And he’s polishing up our new trophy – Blistr, you look good in gold my friend!

If you guys are ready, then I’m ready – let’s cock the hammer its time for action!

Like I said before, we have a great show for you tonight – tonight we look at some of Slim’s latest research around Fantasy Points, Tiers and QB’s

So Slim – lets start with you, tell us a little about why you decided to create the spreadsheets and graphs for our next free Draft Kit Update?

 

So… Blistr – tell us about your Tier 1 QB’s

- or we could just talk about why you have certain guys in a certain tier – like I i wanna know why you have a guy like Philip Rivers in your 4th Tier – he was #6 in scoring in 2013

and Slim – maybe we can talk about some of yours too… like why do you have Kaep in Tier 4 – when Blistr has him in Tier 2

or we can talk about guys with upside in Tier 4 and Tier 5 for each of you guys

and/or we can talk about strategy when drafting QB’s

and/or Slim – what you learned from the research

 

Episode 76

NFL: Tennessee Titans at Oakland Raiders
NFL OTA’s are firing up all around the league. See what our experts think of the NFC Free Agent moves and the fantasy football auction implications! Here is our latest fantasy football auction podcast!

 

FS4U Banner with PromoPlay Daily Fantasy Football at FantasySports4U and use referral code “auction” to receive your new member first time deposit 100% cash match.

Episode 76 – Podcast Script

Listen to the show here

Watch the videocast here

Ya boy – Its June 10th  and Episode 76 and this is the Fantasy Football Auctioneer. I’m your host Uncle Bucketts.

The Fantasy Football Auctioneer is the official podcast of TheFantasyFootballAuction.com – the internet’s only website dedicated to Fantasy Football Auctions

You can find us on facebook at facebook.com/fantasyfootballauctioneer or follow us on twitter and instagram @fantasyauction

We have a great show for you tonight – tonight we are going to breakdown the major free agent moves in the NFC.

Of course our experts are here…

He’s researching the “Hand of God” and the 4-5-1 formation for the upcoming World Cup Soccer Pools – Slim how’s it going tonight?

And he’s slowly counting to 200 – which is the total number of points our Fantasy Hockey Playoff pool team is about to crack! Blistr – We are the champions… my friend!

If you guys are ready, then I’m ready, let’s cock the hammer it’s time for action

So, last time we were on the air, we discussed all things AFC free agency. If you missed it, head on over to our website – www.thefantasyfooballauction.com/podcasts and look for episode 75. Tonight its the NFC’s turn – We are breaking down the fantasy football implications of NFC free agent moves

This segment of the Fantasy Football Auctioneer is brought to you by our 2nd Annual Fantasy Football Auction Draft Kit. June 1st we released our 2014 edition of our draft kit. This year – its multimedia – with embedded videos, downloadable spreadsheets and more! This kit is 100% dedicated to auctions! This kit will be updated all summer long – for free and the updates will be delivered to your inbox – free! This kit is less than a outdated magazine – only $6.95 will get you over 90 pages of All Auction content! So head on over to our website www.thefantasyfootballauction.com and click on the draft kit button! Download some free content to see what its all about!

OK.. lets get going with the free agents

Blistr – Chicago Bears – Additions: Josh Morgan (WR-WAS)

Slim – Detroit Lions – Additions: Golden Tate (WR-SEA)

Blistr –  Green Bay – Additions: None of Significance Key Losses: James Jones (WR), Jermichael Finley (TE)

Slim – Minnesota – Additions: None of Significance Key Losses: None of Significance

Blistr – Dallas – Additions: None of Significance Key Losses: Miles Austin (WR)

Slim – NYG – Additions:  Rashad Jennings (RB-OAK), Mario Manningham (WR-SF)

Blistr – Philadelphia additions: Darren Sproles (RB-NO)Key Losses: Desean Jackson (WR), Jason Avant (WR)

Slim – Washington – Additions: Desean Jackson (WR – PHI), Andre Robert (WR – ARI)

Blistr – Atlanta Additions: None of Significance Key Losses: Tony Gonazalez (TE)

Slim – Carolina – Additions: Jerricho Cotchery (WR-PIT), Jason Avant (WR-PHI), Ed Dickson (TE-BAL)

Blistr – New Orleans Additions: Robert Meachem (WR-SD)

Slim Tampa Bay – Additions: Josh McCown (QB-CHI) Key Losses: Mike Williams (WR)

Blistr – Arizona – Additions: Ted Ginn Jr. (WR-CAR), J Dwyer (RB-PIT)

Slim – St Louis – Additions: Kenny Britt (WR – TEN)

Blistr –  Seattle – Additions: None of Significance Key Losses:  Golden Tate (WR)

Slim – San Francisco Additions: Stevie Johnson (WR – BUF), Brandon Lloyd (WR – FA), Blaine Gabbert (QB – JAX)

Week13 – Fantasy Football, Houston We Have A Lack of Playoff Push

cd_houston_we_have_a_problem

Fantasy Football Advice for Week 13

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What is going on in Houston?  You only score 6 points against Jacksonville!  Don’t get me wrong, I love the strategy.  Why not tank and get an awesome pick.  Especially if Tampa, Jacksonville and Minnesota are going to keep trying to win like suckers.  If Houston plays their cards right they could parlay this genius strategy into the number one overall pick.  Kubiak has a mini stroke, Arian Foster has a bad back and Matt Schaub can’t complete a pass to his own team and then tweaks his ankle.  They think they have everyone fooled.  Oh sure guys, you just magically went from a 12-4 team to this hot mess.  You’re not fooling me.  I know a tank job when I see it.  And I applaud it.  I say good on you Houston, go get that #1 pick.

How’s the gaming going at Fantasy Sports 4 U? Hopefully you didn’t play against Josh Gordon last week.  If you haven’t signed up yet, you can still get your first deposit matched INSTANTLY by clicking on the FS4U banner below.  They have their Turkey Bowl game going this week for those of you that will be laid out watching football waiting for that turducken to finish cooking.  So you might as well spice up the games because there is only one on the tube at a time.
For those of you playing, here are some players that are offering good value this week in the FS4U leagues.  You get a $100,000 budget:
Josh McCown, QB @ Minnesota $9,000 - He’s playing against the defense that has given up the 2nd most fantasy points to quarterbacks.
Andre Brown, RB @ Washington $4,000 - Don’t be fooled with what this defense did against Frank Gore.  They sold out to stop the run which they won’t do against the Giants.
Rashad Jennings, RB @ Dallas $5,000 - Dallas gives up the most fantasy points to running backs and we just saw Andre Brown and Brandon Jacobs gash them.
Josh Gordon, WR vs. Jacksonville $10,000 - They are playing Jacksonville and Cleveland quarterbacks will look for him all game long. They can’t run the ball.
Michael Floyd, WR @Philadelphia $4,000 - 17 targets and 297 yards the last 2 games and they are playing the team that gives up the most fantasy points to wide receivers.
Coby Fleener, TE vs. Tennessee $2,000 - 18 targets the last 2 games is music to PPR players’ ears.  Plus the Colts are at home where the offense should fair a little better.

Quote of the Week

I’m not going to sit here and say I’m 100 percent secure, because every single person in this locker room has to prove himself daily.”
– Geno Smith postgame after losing to the Baltimore Ravens
No kidding your not 100% secure Geno.  The only thing your job security has going for it is that you have Matt Simms behind you.  Rex can’t play him unless he wants a mutiny on his hands.  I do like the fact that he is taking accountability for his terrible play.  No where to go but up.
Just want to end off by saying Happy Thanksgiving to everyone.  Enjoy some football but more importantly enjoy your families…..and some time off work.
Slim @slim4MVP
On to the links…………………
Week 13 Updated!
The Fantasy Football Auction experts aren’t finished when the regular season starts. We havePlayer Rankings as season long. So, not sure who to start this week? Head on over to the siteto see who we think you should start.
Daily Fantasy Football
Join us at FantasySports4U for amazing Daily Fantasy Games. Their “New Customer” promo using the Promo Code ‘Auction’ is the best in the biz!
Week 13 Updated!
Fantasy Football News, Waiver Wire Adds, Game Breakdowns and more. That’s what you get from our podcast.

Red Rifle + Taint + Marcel Marceau

redRiflePic

Man there was some crazy games this week.  The Red Rifle throwing for 5 TDs. The Seahawks and the Rams front 4 getting Schottenheimered.  Denver’s second half explosion.  The biggest story though has to be the Lions unlikely comeback.  I watched a lot of that game because I was forced to start Joseph Randle and because it was the one of the only close games that kicked off at 1 o’clock.

Calvin Johnson was awesome. But I don’t know why Dallas does this dumb ass stuff every year.  That last drive was evidence why I thought they would make sure they drafted Kenny Vaccaro in the draft this year.  How does Calvin Johnson not get double coverage with only seconds left in the game?  Also, how does a safety not get over to stop Kris Durham from catching that 40 yard pass to really get the Lions in a position to take shots at the end zone?  You have to be able to have the range to get over there.  It’s just another example of how the Cowboys just seem to be jinxed.  If it’s not Romo messing up it’s Jason Garrett mismanaging the clock.  And if it’s not that then apparently its blown coverage.  They have now officially become the most frustrating team to bet on in my opinion.
Now I can’t mention this game without talking about Dez Bryant.  I know its been on every sports show for the last couple days so I won’t spend tons of time on it.  Was it stupid for Dez to act that way?  Of course.  Whether he was being positive or not you can’t act likedez that outside of your own house.  And then an idiot like Terrell Owens needs to add his two cents.  This is what I had the most issue with.  I wish that guys like T.O. would realize that are treated differently than most players is because they are dicks.  Remember the tantrums on quarterback Jeff Garcia, offensive co-ordinator Greg Knapp and head coach Dennis Erickson when he was in San Francisco?  I don’t think Brady is treated that much different.  Any rational non-Patriots fan thought Brady acted like a douche against the Jets in Week 2 when he was berating his young receivers.  They difference for me is he apologized for it.  T.O. never really ever apologized for anything instead choosing to make excuses and blame others.  in my opinion you don’t get the benefit of the doubt when you don’t give people a reason to give it to you.  I think the issue with Dez isn’t that big of a deal he just has to keep his cool a little better.  The issue is guys that Dez has no business taking advice from as far as how to handle themselves off the field, need to shut up and not worry about staying in the spotlight for an extra few minutes.
On a different note, how did Clay Mathews never realize his mom had a “mom-cave” directly behind his locker? Couldn’t he smell the soup odour coming from behind that 3/4″ backing to his locker and think that seemed out of place in a football locker room? Clay Matthews Fathead Commercial Cheeseburger soup seems like the last smell I’d expect in that environment, depending on what John Kuhn had for lunch I guess.  Did he not hear his mom’s pots and pans clanging together when she was getting the soup on the stove?  I really question Clay’s mental awareness on the football field if he was incapable of putting all this together.  Maybe he’s been busy thinking of a way, other than getting his Fathead, to stop burglar cats….which makes sense because 4 out of 5 cops say they are the stealthiest of the domesticated criminal feline genus.
Its pretty slim pickings on the waiver wire, that is if your in any half assed 12 team or larger pool where Andre Ellington and Marvin Jones aren’t available, but here are some guys I’m targeting.
Jake Locker, QB (TEN) – 10% of FAAB. Guys like Peyton, Kaepernick and Russell Wilson are on byes and so are some other common streaming options.  A healing Locker coming off a bye should be able to pick up where he left off when he was injured.
Montee Ball, RB (DEN) – 5-8% of FAAB. Ideally you could wait another week to see just how Ball gets used but Denver is on a bye.  If you’re desperately thin at RB you might want to roll the dice that he stays involved in the offense.
Kenny Stills, WR (NO) – 2-4% of FAAB.  I drafted him, dropped him and most recently cursed him because I could have used his performance this past week.  He doesn’t get tons of targets but he usually does good things when he catches the ball.

Quote of the Week

“That was immature of me.  Hurt my team.  I got to stay composed and play football.  Act like I’ve been there before”  – Golden Tate, on his touchdown taunting penalty
You didn’t hurt the team. You think the defense gives a s^%t that you got a 15 yard penalty?  I hate to sound like an old man but how can you taunt anyone if your Golden Tate?  Your team had 139 yards passing for the game!  Plus your name is Golden.  You average 35 yards per game for your career.  You’re a middle of the road talent and always will be so shut up and leave the hand gestures to the  mimes like Marcel Marceau
marceaua
On to the links…….

Ice Packs, Scalpels and Schlong-Gate

vasectomy

Holy ice packs and scalpels Batman!  

The funny thing is that I was looking for a picture of Ice Packs and Scalpels and all I could find where pics of Vasectomy (don’t ever Google that). So I had to include it in the picture for the post – too funny!
 
Holy ice packs and scalpels Batman!  Was it just me or was there a few injuries this weekend? You’d think all these guys were practising down in Tampa and caught some kind of injury bug. Normally Doug Martin going down would spell the end of a fantasy season however you might already be in the cellar thanks to the common #2 overall pick. Teddy Bridgewater should start taking antibiotics now in case the winless Bucs select him in the 2014 Draft.  Jay Cutler hurts his real team probably more than most fantasy teams too, although the Bears defense does a pretty good job of hurting that team itself.  Bradford shouldn’t be on any fantasy team. Jermichael Finley was just getting a chance to potentially show what he can do with the injuries to the Packers wide receivers.  Brian Cushing and Leon Hall obviously hurt their real teams more unless you’re in an IDP league.  The injury that I feel the worst about is Reggie Wayne.  The Colts are 5-2 and have beaten the Niners, Seahawks and now the Broncos….3 of the high touted top 3 teams to start the year.  Who knows how much Reg has left in the tank.  This could have been his last chance to make a real run at getting another Lombardi.  Hopefully he can rehab and get back on the field next year but only time will tell.

I know it’s Halloween but I couldn’t help but look at Jack Del Rio at one point during the Sunday nighter and think about Christmas.  Do you remember the claymation Rudolph show that plays every year at Christmas? It was my favourite shows as a kid.  Well I noticed a eerie similarity between Jack and one of the characters in that epic Christmas tale.  Take a look for yourself here…..and pay very close attention to the bangs.
That’s right he’s a larger version of Hermey the misfit dentist elf.  Maybe he’s getting a jump on his Halloween costume this year.
Did I not tell you Jarrett Boykin would make a nice fantasy contribution last week?  What aboutTolbert?Here are some players I’m targeting this week in my auction pools.
Mike James  RB (TB) – 10-15% of FAAB.  Doug is down.  Yes James falls under the same unflashy ilk as Brandon Jacobs but it’s hard to find a 20 touch running back everyday on waivers.  If for some reason Doug gone for longer then you may want to spend more.
Darrius Heyward-Bey WR (IND) – 5-10% of FAAB. Reggie is down.  Someone has to catch passes now.  Fleener has shown to have butter fingers so why can’t it be DHB?
Chris Ivory RB (NYJ) – 8-12% of FAAB. I like him a lot preseason.  Not so much around Week 5.  Now he’s weaseled his way back onto the fantasy radar again.  If he’s going to keep getting touches he has value.
Jordan Reed TE (WAS) – 4-6% of FAAB. I thought Reed would make more of a statement next year but he’s forcing the spotlight towards him with performances like he had in Week 7.

Quote of the Week

“Aaron is my quarterback and usually he is guaranteed to get me about 30″

– Brett Favre on who his fantasy quarterback is

Ya right Brett.  One, you don’t play fantasy football.  You’re too busy riding around on your lawn tractor doing chores to have time to tinker with lineups and play the waiver wire.  At least that’s what you do in those Wrangler commercials.  His wife probably doesn’t allow him to use electronic devices either after the whole “Schlong-Gate” fiasco.  Two, there is no way you’d draft Rodgers.  You’re too spiteful and crotchety to even admit that Rodgers is worthy of being on your fantasy team.  Plus would Favre really pass up on an elite RB when QBs were so deep this year? He’s much too savvy for that.  He seems like an Eli guy anyway because he’s someone who enjoys throwing into triple coverage off his back foot.  You have to admire that quality in a fantasy quarterback.

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Tom Brady’s Sweater Mangoes

tom-brady-sweater-600x447

Fantasy Football Advice for Week 7

Looking for Fantasy Football  weekly advice. We have it for you! NFL Fantasy Football waiver wire moves, Fantasy Football injuries and Fantasy Football strategy and analysis is here for you! Helping you win your week!
 
Well have to say I haven’t been this excited about anyone named Keenan since I saw the preview for the movie Major Payne. Oh wait, that was his brother Damon.  So I guess I’ve never been excited about anyone named Keenan before although he was good on In Living Colour.
Keenan Allen on the other hand has been pretty damn good recently.  I remember when I was doing my NFL Draft prep this spring, there were many scouts who thought he could be the most pro ready wide receiver in terms of his route running ability.  I was surprised that he slipped to the third round. On our podcast last week we said you have to pick him up and he didn’t disappoint again on Monday night.  He followed up his 6 catch, 115 yard, 1 touchdown performance last week with with 9 catches for 107 yards and a score.  He’s a WR3 in any format who will very easily start falling into the WR2 category if he keeps this up.  And he could keep this up since he plays in a pass first offense where over the last 3 games he has 27 targets.  I’m sensing a PPR stud in the making.
Speaking of studs, Tom Brady is as smooth as they come.  I’m not even talking about that game winning drive.  I was more impressed with that sweater he was wearing in his post game press conference.  He must have brass ones the size of mangoes.  Not many guys would have the guts to attempt that wardrobe choice.  Just think about all you could do if you were Tom frigging Brady for 24 hours.

On a more serious note, I was a little disappointed by a couple things I saw on the field in a couple games this weekend.  In two separate games fans were acting pretty classless when players got hurt.  The worst was in Houston where the home crowd was cheering when Schaubgot hurt.  I get that he was playing bad but that’s pathetic to applaud openly when a player gets injured when he’s there to entertain you.  The second instance occurred in San Francisco where 49er fans started the wave as Calais Campbell was being taken off the field on a stretcher.  I realize that the game was stopped so some fans and their ADHD may need stimulus but you can be respectful and wait to cheer and partake in debauchery once the game starts again.  Plus it’s the wave…..it’s dumb to do when the game is going on let alone when a player is being strapped to a backboard for a neck injury.  It was nice to see the 49er players trying to get the fans to stop at least.  Yes, some of the athletes gets paid a lot of money, but they’re still playing a game.  Sometimes I think we have to step back as fans and remember football is still a game even though we love our teams.

Some guys I’m targeting this week and how much to spend on them:
Mike Tolbert (CAR) - 2-5% of FAAB. Should be used a lot in the red zone
Nick Foles (PHI) - 5% of FAAB. Chip might have a QB controversy brewing. Why rush Vick back if Foles is playing this well and they play a suspect Dallas secondary this week.
Joseph Randle (DAL) - 5-7% of FAAB. The annual DeMarco Murray injury bug has bitten and Randle looks like the guy to pick up the slack.  Going against a soft Eagles rush defense too.  Murray owners might want to spend a little more depending on what their depth is like.
Joseph Fauria (DET) – 1-2% of FAAB. Doesn’t do much outside the redzone but seems like a Stafford fave inside it plus Lions don’t have many other reliable receiving options right now.
Jarrett Boykin (GB) – 3-4% of FAAB. Cobb sounds like he’ll miss a couple weeks and Jones is a question mark too.  He may not score many TDs since the offense has been having trouble in the red zone but he could see plenty of targets. Great PPR potential.

Quote of the Week

We only play to win. I don’t give a damn about playing close of any of that stuff.”
– Bruce Arians when asked about taking positives away from their loss to the 49ers
Love it. This isn’t high school. You are a professional and your job is potentially on the line every game.  It doesn’t matter if you lose by 1 or 20, it’s still a check in the loss column.  If you’re paid to win you better find a way to do so.  Save the positive spin stuff for JV teams.

EJ Just Go Out Of Bounds!

EJ Manuel

First off sorry about the late article!

Second, why couldn’t E.J. Manuel just get out of bounds? These young quarterbacks aren’t playing on college any more.  There are many guys that are bigger and faster than them, which they don’t see very often in college, that are looking to take their shot….especially when they are tight roping the sideline.  And Hoyer.  That sucked.  I actually feel bad for the guy.  He was playing pretty damn good and could have earned himself a shot with someone next year.  So a lot of these streaming options are dropping like flies.  Hopefully you snagged Rivers when you had the chance.  Pryor is knicked up, Vick appears to be falling back down to earth plus it only seems like a matter of time before he gets hurt and Freeman is hitting the snooze button every morning now.  Streaming looked like the best play this year, unless you drafted Peyton, especially with the subpar scoring by guys like Kaepernick, Russell Wilson and Tom Brady.  If you’re a streamer make sure you get your meat hooks into a couple viable options before the well dries up.
MrBlistr was busy this week writing a nice article recapping some of his preseason player predictions.  If you haven’t got a chance to read the article here is the link to it http://www.thefantasyfootballauction.com/fantasy-football-writers-cramp/.  Some of his projections were spot on, like Bilal Powell, full credit given there.  Some were not like his BFF Rivers.  He also took the time to throw myself and JJ Zachariason under the bus with Roddy White/Julio Jones and Peyton Manning.  I still stand by my thoughts on both.  I don’t think anyone thought Manning would be bad, or even mediocre, but who predicted this?  I mean the guy is on pace to “Peter North” Brady’s single season touchdown record.  I think that record is already on it’s knees with it eyes closed and mouth agape.  I still also think that Roddy hurts Julio’s value….only when healthy though.  I believe we said that on the particular podcast that MrBlistr references in his article too.  If you’re a White owner obviously you’re frustrated by this ankle injury.  I still believe that if he was 100% then Julio’s numbers wouldn’t be as good as they are now.  Julio is an awesome receiver, but if Roddy wasn’t a decoy right now he would definitely be more involved in the offense which then limits Julio’s touches.
Also  guys, if you haven’t been on FantasySports4U to take their free money I don’t know what you’re waiting for?  Especially since we break down their prices right with our weekly player rankings so you can fill out a roster faster then ever.  If they are giving you money to sign up why not turn that into more cash. And you don’t have to tell your wife and you can spend it on yourself!! Buy beer, some good cigars or fly the wife and kids to your mother-in-laws for a weekend so you can watch football and porn on the big screen while drinking your beer and smoking your Cohiba.  Check it out here http://fantasysports4u.com/users/register and get the free cash by using the promo code “auction” to get the best deals.

Quote of the Week

“We don’t make any first downs. Play calling is like throwing a dart at a board
– Tom Coughlin postgame after their Week 4 loss to Kansas City
Dart at a dart board? No way.  I don’t play much darts and when I do I’m usually out past my curfew and a few sheets to the wind as the kids say and yet even then I can hit what I’m aiming for with more consistency then Eli right now.  I wonder if Coughlin has a board in his office with Kevin Gillbride’s picture on it?  Just a thought……
kevin dart board
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Player Projections from Number Fire

keep calm waiver wire
Week fantasy football waiver wire claims are difficult some weeks, especially when you use the “Blind Waiver Wire Auction”. Who are sleepers and who are busts for NFL week fantasy football is tough to determine. But how do you get who you want? Slim will tell you exactly how!

By now, your hard work all summer has led to you drafting a contending team on paper.  Now only if you could win your pool on paper.  Now is not the time to simply sit back and admire your perfectly drafted squad.  We all know that over the course of the season injuries and coaching choices could make some players on your team not worthy of a roster spot anymore.  The draft is where you accumulate the stars that are going to do most of the heavy lifting throughout the season.  The waiver wire will allow you to fill in the gaps on a weekly basis in order to make your team a true winner.

For those of you that don’t do blind bidding for your auction waiver wire all it means is that everyone in your league has until a set time to to get a bid in for any player of their choosing that is on waivers.  At the end of that time period, waiver players go to the highest bidder.  Usually as a commissioner, I like to set the deadline for Wednesday night, since it allows everyone to set their rosters before any Thursday games.  Now one issue is that as a commissioner, not only do you take all the bids, but you are also in the pool so you can see what everyone has bid.  How I run pools is that as commish, I have to have my bids in before the Monday night game is over, then after the game, the rest of the league can start submitting bids until the Wednesday deadline.  Now, the commish has to work on the honour system, however if they really want to cheat their friends that badly then I think they have bigger underlying issues, at least that’s what Dr. Phil says.  If trust is an issue in your league maybe you can come up with a way to get around this, like getting an outside person to handle all the bids or something.  It’s up to you.

I like the blind bidding process much better than the old and still most common “first come, first serve” waiver method.  “First come, first serve” is great for the guy that is watching every game on his satellite dish on Sundays and immediately hits the waiver wire when he sees Darren McFadden limp off the field in real time.  That guy is me actually, and even though it does give me an advantage over the guy who has to resort to checking scores from his cell phone while cleaning the gutters, cutting the grass, making his wife a grilled cheese sandwich, cleaning the garage, browsing the farmer’s market, soaking his vag and/or washing the minivan, I like the blind system better.  I feel that if keeps the auction theme going throughout the year because players are bidding against one another every week.  There is also more strategy involved because you have to manage your waiver funds throughout the season while keeping track of the remaining budgets of the other owners.  Sound familiar?  It also balances the playing field too because it gives a couple days for guys to figure out what they want to do to their rosters after the games on Sundays.  So even though I do think I get an edge over some competitors using the standard waiver method, I like the fact that blind bidding can balance the playing field for everyone, which ultimately makes the league more competitive.  If you are not currently using blind bidding for your waivers then I suggest you lobby your league to give it a try.  It’s much more fun and I’m confident you’ll never go back.

Now blind bidding is quite different than standard waiver claim processes so let’s look at some ways that you can make this system work better for you.

1. Don’t save your money

Just like in an auction draft, with blind bidding, you have a set amount you can spend to manipulate your roster.  And just like in an auction draft, you don’t get a prize for having money left over.  In our main money league we use a budget of $1000 for acquiring players off waivers throughout the season.  That may seem like a lot of money, and it is, so go out there and spend it.  If there is a player that you think is emerging and can potentially be a significant contributor then go and get him.  For example, last season Alfred Morris wasn’t drafted.  An owner who was thin at running back put in a waiver bid for him after Week 1 for $500.  At the time he took heat for spending half his budget on one player.  Well, that one player ended up rushing for 1606 yards and 13 TDs and finished as the 5th best fantasy running back and was obviously a key contributor to his fantasy team all season.  The moral of the story is don’t be cheap.  There won’t be many guys coming off waivers that will be stars, so if you think you have found one make sure you really try and get him.

2. How much should you bid?

Now I just finished saying spend your money, but how do you know how much other owners will bid?  Well obviously you don’t, unless you’re either a mind reader or a corrupt commish, but you can still try and use human nature to your advantage.  We like whole numbers.  By that I mean numbers ending in zeroes and fives.  Marketers have been using that to their advantage for years and now you can do the same.  I will rarely bid $1 on any waiver player simply because it’s what many other owners will do.  Instead, if I’m bidding on a very cheap player, I’ll start at $2, but often I’ll even go for $3 or $4.  Those extra bucks, unlike in an auction draft, won’t make or break you.  If you’re going for a more high priced player I like to bid $22, $52 or $102.  It gives you an edge should some owners go $1 over like $21, $51 or $101.

3. Plan ahead

Look ahead at your bye weeks.  Try not to wait until the week before to fill in your kicker, defense, quarterback or tight end.  More competitive owners might try and block you from getting the best bye week replacements by outbidding you for them if you wait.  By putting in bids a couple weeks in advance you can get the best deals and you get the jump on your competitors. It will also allow you time to get another player should you lose out on your initial waiver claim

4. Look at your opponents rosters

If you notice the guy you’re playing this week has his kicker going on bye then maybe you want to put bids in on a couple kickers to try and block him from picking one up.  If you are successful, yes you will be stuck with a couple kickers on your bench for a week, but more importantly your opponent will receive zero points at that position when he plays you because you didn’t let him grab a kicker.  You can drop the kickers after that week while you are still basking in the glow from your important win.  I will do this for any position where I notice my head-to-head competitor will need a waiver wire replacement.

If your league is using blind bidding waiver acquisition then hopefully these tips will help you maximize your success on the waiver wire.  If your league is still using the old-fashioned method, maybe you can convince your league to switch to a more interactive and strategic waiver method.

Good luck!

 

Slim  @slim4MVP

www.thefantasyfootballauction.com Contributor  @fantasyauction

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