Fantasy Football Wide Receivers – Breakout, Bounceback or Bust Candidates
Let’s take a look at another position in my series on 3B’s – the fantasy football wide receivers. Fantasy Football Wide Receivers can make or break your fantasy football team!
Devante Parker (MIA)- Breakout
Parker is entering his 4th season in the NFL. He has yet to play all 16 games. He was a first-round pick that stands 6’ 3”. His target total last year was the highest of his 3-year career at 96, despite only playing 13 games. Jarvis Landry left the Dolphins and with that departure freed up 161 targets from the past season. Landry finished as WR4 in PPR and he never even broke 1000 yards. If not Parker, who? If not now, when? Parker will easily see his highest number of targets of his career this season. You need the targets to make the catches and produce. He will not break the bank either and he should have WR2 capabilities at the bare minimum. Get him on your fantasy football wide receivers radar, and if he doesn’t come through this year, you can forget him for good.
Jarvis Landry (CLE)- Bust
Since we mentioned Jarvis above, let’s continue on that path. Landry will not see 161 targets this year. He will not reach WR1 status, maybe not even WR2! However, he will be drafted fairly high by those who look at last year’s rankings. Thus, he will be a bust…highly drafted or very expensive in an auction and not producing up to that price tag = bust to me. He has so much competition for targets in an offense that will probably be run first. If Tyrod Taylor starts at QB, he is not known for being a prolific passer. He has never topped 437 attempts in a season. If Mayfield wins the job, you have a rookie QB-unproven at the NFL level and will probably have game plans to get the ball out quick which will involve a lot of RB usage. He will be competing with Josh Gordon, Corey Coleman, Antonio Callaway, (possibly Louis, and Higgins) David Njoku, and Duke Johnson. It is advisable to leave Landry for someone else this year.
Marqise Lee (JAX)- Breakout
Lee was a 2nd round pick in 2014. They also drafted Allen Robinson in the second round, after Lee. They also signed Allen Hurns that year as a UDFA. Well here we are in 2018 and Lee is the last man standing. Last year Lee had 96 targets and the year prior he reached 105. They will still be a run-heavy offense, but someone will have to be the main beneficiary of Robinson and Hurns having left town. They brought in Donte Moncrief, drafted DJ Chark and still have Cole and Westbrook. However, Lee is the man with the experience and the history with Bortles. He will be the trusted fantasy football wide receivers that Bortles will look to as they have established that relationship. I expect Lee to top 120-135 targets this year. He should break the 1000 yard mark for the first time in his career. He is another solid WR3 for your fantasy team.
Tyreek Hill (KC)- Bust
Again we are looking at a person who finished high the season before (9th WR in PPR) and thus he will be a hot commodity on auction day. However, the Chiefs brought in Sammy Watkins. I am not a Sammy truther, but I also don’t think you guarantee $30 million and not throw him the ball. Couple that with a first-year starter at QB and an Andy Reid offence (RB focus). Hill was highly efficient last year turning 105 targets into 75/1183/7. There is no way that he is that efficient this year and also, I do not see him getting 100 targets. They never lost anyone who soaked up targets and only gained someone whose skill (questionable) and contract (obvious) will demand targets. So here we are again, Hill will cost $40 (or more) and produce like a $15 player. That is a bust in my eyes.
Michael Crabtree (BAL)- Bounceback
Crabtree had a bad year last year and still finished as WR 31 in PPR. He never had his QB for a better part of the season. Prior to last year, he was WR 12, and WR 17 while in Oakland. He regularly out-produced the much higher ranked Amari Cooper. He goes to Baltimore with a QB that can throw the ball deep and accurately. They have a questionable backfield and no one has stepped up at TE, yet. He doesn’t have anyone threatening his target share as the other receivers are a different build and will play a different role. If the rookie fantasy football wide receivers can step up their game, they will eventually threaten him for targets, but that may take all season. Crabtree will easily climb back into mid WR2 status this year and you can get him at a bargain (I am guessing below $10).
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